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Synopsis Dilution effects arise when increases in species diversity reduce disease risk, and amplification effects arise when the opposite occurs. Despite ample evidence for both phenomena, the mechanisms driving dilution and amplification effects and how they are mediated by environmental factors remain poorly understood. Mechanisms involving demographic rates or stage structure of hosts are particularly lacking in the diversity–disease literature. In Midwestern lakes, Metschnikowia bicuspidata parasites infect Daphnia dentifera focal hosts in autumn, with epidemics beginning when water is warm (∼25°C) and peaking when lakes have cooled (∼15°C). Epidemics are smaller in lakes with more Ceriodaphnia dubia alternative hosts, which serve as key diluters of disease. However, it is unclear whether seasonal changes in temperature affect their ability to alter host population dynamics and reduce disease. We conducted a mesocosm experiment to test how temperature (15, 20, or 25°C) mediated the effects of these key alternative hosts on density, stage structure, and disease dynamics in focal host populations. The experiment yielded several surprising results. First, focal hosts rapidly outcompeted alternative hosts at all temperatures. By the time parasites were added, alternative hosts had been almost completely excluded. Second, despite diluting disease in the field, initial presence of these alternative hosts amplified infection prevalence in the experiment. Third, this amplification arose as a legacy effect, lasting generations after alternative hosts were gone. Our explanation for this legacy amplification effect centers on focal host stage structure and demography. Competition with alternative hosts resulted in focal host populations that were more adult-biased when parasites were added, at all 3 temperatures. Additionally, host densities in these treatments increased more rapidly in the subsequent 10 days, consistent with reduced background death rates. Since adults consume more parasites than juveniles, and since exposed hosts must survive 10 days before producing infectious spores, these initial differences in stage structure and population growth seem to have set disease dynamics along amplified trajectories. These results highlight the need for a broader understanding of the mechanisms that can amplify or dilute disease, including altered host stage structure and mortality of exposed hosts in diverse communities. 

ABSTRACT Environmental conditions such as temperature and resource availability can shape disease transmission by altering contact rates and/or the probability of infection given contact. However, interactive effects of these factors on transmission processes remain poorly understood. We develop mechanistic models and fit them to experimental data to uncover how temperature and resources jointly affect transmission of fungal parasites (Metschnikowia bicuspidata) in zooplankton hosts (Daphnia dentifera). Model competition revealed interactive effects of temperature and resources on both contact rates (host foraging) and the probability of infection given contact (per‐parasite susceptibility). Foraging rates increased with temperature and decreased with resources (via type‐II functional response), but this resource effect weakened at warmer temperatures due to shorter handling times. Per‐parasite susceptibility increased with resources at cooler temperatures but remained consistently high when warmer. Our analysis demonstrates that temperature and resources interact to shape transmission processes and provides a general theoretical framework for other host–parasite systems. 

Abstract Anthropogenic nutrient enrichment and shifts in herbivory can lead to dramatic changes in the composition and diversity of aboveground plant communities. In turn, this can alter seed banks in the soil, which are cryptic reservoirs of plant diversity. Here, we use data from seven Nutrient Network grassland sites on four continents, encompassing a range of climatic and environmental conditions, to test the joint effects of fertilization and aboveground mammalian herbivory on seed banks and on the similarity between aboveground plant communities and seed banks. We find that fertilization decreases plant species richness and diversity in seed banks, and homogenizes composition between aboveground and seed bank communities. Fertilization increases seed bank abundance especially in the presence of herbivores, while this effect is smaller in the absence of herbivores. Our findings highlight that nutrient enrichment can weaken a diversity maintaining mechanism in grasslands, and that herbivory needs to be considered when assessing nutrient enrichment effects on seed bank abundance.